Show and Tell Hawai'i

The Oscars: My picks, plus some possibilities

February 25th, 2012

Sunday’s Oscar hoopla should yield a few surprises. Then again, maybe not.
With 11 nominations, “Hugo” oughtta win something; this romantic and rhapsodic homage to grand, old-fashioned storytelling and movie-making by veteran Martin Scorsese touched the heart. In 3-D, even.
However, the splendid silent flick, “The Artists,” which boasts 10 nominations with its nostalgic coming-of-talkies festival of dancing and pantomime, is the favored contender. In black and white, even.
But is “The Artist” a one-trick pony, a gimmick mostly, and soon will be forgotten despite its imaginative novelty? It is the front-runner on the eve of the Academy Awards.
The bigger picture is: Will its flavor and appeal, along with the careers of its romantic leading players, bloom and flower down the line, in conventional movie projects? Does it matter?
The evening will provide drama and conflicts: George Clooney or Jean Dujardin? Viola Davis or Meryl Steep? “The Descendants” or “The Artist”?
Guesstimating the Academy Awards in key categories is an annual ritual.
So, from my theater seat, my take ...

Best Picture
Will win: “The Artist.”
Should win: “The Descendants.”
My pick: “The Descendants.”

Best Actress

Will win: Viola Davis, “The Help.”
Should win: Meryl Streep, “The Iron Lady.”
My pick: Viola Davis, “The Help.”

Best Actor

Will win: Jean Dujardin, “The Artist.”
Should win: George Clooney, “The Descendants.”
My pick: George Clooney, “The Descendants.”

Best Supporting Actress

Will win: Olivia Spencer, “The Help.”
Should win: Olivia Spencer, “The Help.”
My pick: Olivia Spencer, “The Help.”

Best Supporting Actor
Will win: Christopher Plummer, “Beginners.”
Should win: Kenneth Branagh, “My Week With Marilyn.”
My pick: Christopher Plummer, “Beginners.”

Best Director
Will win: Michel Hazanivicius, “The Artist.”
Should win: Martin Scorsese, “Hugo.”
My pick: Martin Scorsese, “Hugo.”

Best Original Screenplay
Will win: Michel Hazanivicius, “The Artist.”
Should win: Woody Allen, “Midnight in Paris.”
My pick: Woody Allen, “Midnight in Paris.”

Best Adapted Screenplay
Will win: Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon and Jim Rash, “The Descendants.”
Should win: Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon and Jim Rash, “The Descendants.”
My pick: Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon and Jim Rush, “The Descendants.”

Agree? Disagree? Opinions?

Tune in Sunday to the Academy Awards on ABC (KITV).

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